
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{\label{tab:cw_pop} Civil War Onset: Population-based variables}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lccccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
      Dependent Variable: & \multicolumn{5}{c}{Ethnic civil war onset $\times 100$}\\
      Model:                                   & (1)          & (2)           & (3)           & (4)           & (5)\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Variables}\\
      Lost home rule or lost unity             & 0.2792$^{*}$ & 0.3389$^{**}$ & 0.3395$^{**}$ &               &   \\   
                                               & (0.1129)     & (0.1078)      & (0.1142)      &               &   \\   
      Lost home rule only                      &              &               &               & 0.3991$^{**}$ &   \\   
                                               &              &               &               & (0.1342)      &   \\   
      Lost unity only                          &              &               &               & 0.2210$^{*}$  &   \\   
                                               &              &               &               & (0.0910)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule \& lost unity             &              &               &               & 0.2726$^{**}$ &   \\   
                                               &              &               &               & (0.0856)      &   \\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (post-1816) &              &               &               &               & 0.4615$^{**}$\\   
                                               &              &               &               &               & (0.1673)\\   
      Lost home rule or lost unity (pre-1816)  &              &               &               &               & 0.2358$^{*}$\\   
                                               &              &               &               &               & (0.1087)\\   
      \midrule
      \emph{Fixed-effects}\\
      Year                                     & Yes          & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Peace year                               & Yes          & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      State                                    &              & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Border duration                          &              &               & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Baseline controls                        & Yes          & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      Extended controls                        &              & Yes           & Yes           & Yes           & Yes\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Fit statistics}\\
      Observations                             & 40,142       & 40,142        & 40,142        & 40,142        & 39,971\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Clustered (State \& Aggregate group) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{6}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}}\\
   \end{tabular}
   
   \par \raggedright 
   \parbox[t]{\width=\textwidth}{\textbf{Notes:} OLS estimates of Civil War Onsets. The unit of analysis is the ethnic segment year. 
          Baseline controls: segment population relative to state-leading group, transborder ethnic kin dummy, national unity dummy. 
          Extended controls: logged country and aggregate group population; ethnic fractionalization of country and aggregate group;
          logged distance to capital; war history (past years with ongoing civil war);
          time since last border change (FE). Standard errors clustered on country and aggregate ethnic group in parentheses.
          Significance codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}
\end{table}


